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Linear regression for data with measurement errors and intrinsic scatter (BCES)

Python module for performing robust linear regression on (X,Y) data points where both X and Y have measurement errors.

The fitting method is the bivariate correlated errors and intrinsic scatter (BCES) and follows the description given in Akritas & Bershady. 1996, ApJ. Some of the advantages of BCES regression compared to ordinary least squares fitting (quoted from Akritas & Bershady 1996):

  • it allows for measurement errors on both variables
  • it permits the measurement errors for the two variables to be dependent
  • it permits the magnitudes of the measurement errors to depend on the measurements
  • other "symmetric" lines such as the bisector and the orthogonal regression can be constructed.

In order to understand how to perform and interpret the regression results, please read the paper.

Installation

Using pip:

pip install bces

If that does not work, you can install it using the setup.py script:

python setup.py install

You may need to run the last command with sudo.

Alternatively, if you plan to modify the source then install the package with a symlink, so that changes to the source files will be immediately available:

python setup.py develop

Usage

import bces.bces as BCES
a,b,aerr,berr,covab=BCES.bcesp(x,xerr,y,yerr,cov)

Arguments:

  • x,y : 1D data arrays
  • xerr,yerr: measurement errors affecting x and y, 1D arrays
  • cov : covariance between the measurement errors, 1D array

If you have no reason to believe that your measurement errors are correlated (which is usually the case), you can provide an array of zeroes as input for cov:

cov = numpy.zeros_like(x)

Output:

  • a,b : best-fit parameters a,b of the linear regression such that y = Ax + B.
  • aerr,berr : the standard deviations in a,b
  • covab : the covariance between a and b (e.g. for plotting confidence bands)

Each element of the arrays a, b, aerr, berr and covab correspond to the result of one of the different BCES lines: y|x, x|y, bissector and orthogonal, as detailed in the table below. Please read the original BCES paper to understand what these different lines mean.

Element Method Description
0 y|x Assumes x as the independent variable
1 x|y Assumes y as the independent variable
2 bissector Line that bisects the y|x and x|y. This approach is self-inconsistent, do not use this method, cf. Hogg, D. et al. 2010, arXiv:1008.4686.
3 orthogonal Orthogonal least squares: line that minimizes orthogonal distances. Should be used when it is not clear which variable should be treated as the independent one

By default, bcesp run in parallel with bootstrapping.

Examples

bces-example.ipynb is a jupyter notebook including a practical, step-by-step example of how to use BCES to perform regression on data with uncertainties on x and y. It also illustrates how to plot the confidence band for a fit.

If you have suggestions of more examples, feel free to add them.

Running Tests

To test your installation, run the following command inside the BCES directory:

pytest -v

Requirements

See requirements.txt.

Citation

If you end up using this code in your paper, you are morally obliged to cite the following works

I spent considerable time writing this code, making sure it is correct and user-friendly, so I would appreciate your citation of the first paper in the above list as a token of gratitude.

If you are really happy with the code, you can buy me a beer.

Todo

If you have improvements to the code, suggestions of examples,speeding up the code etc, feel free to submit a pull request.

  • implement weighted least squares (WLS)
  • implement unit testing: bces
  • unit testing: bootstrap

Visit the author's web page and/or follow him on twitter (@nemmen).


Copyright (c) 2023, Rodrigo Nemmen. All rights reserved.

Redistribution and use in source and binary forms, with or without modification, are permitted provided that the following conditions are met:

Redistributions of source code must retain the above copyright notice, this list of conditions and the following disclaimer. Redistributions in binary form must reproduce the above copyright notice, this list of conditions and the following disclaimer in the documentation and/or other materials provided with the distribution. THIS SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED BY THE COPYRIGHT HOLDERS AND CONTRIBUTORS "AS IS" AND ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, THE IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE ARE DISCLAIMED. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE COPYRIGHT HOLDER OR CONTRIBUTORS BE LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, EXEMPLARY, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, PROCUREMENT OF SUBSTITUTE GOODS OR SERVICES; LOSS OF USE, DATA, OR PROFITS; OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION) HOWEVER CAUSED AND ON ANY THEORY OF LIABILITY, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, STRICT LIABILITY, OR TORT (INCLUDING NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY OUT OF THE USE OF THIS SOFTWARE, EVEN IF ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGE.

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Python module for performing linear regression for data with measurement errors and intrinsic scatter

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